THE world is only ten weeks away from
running out of wheat supplies after stocks fell to their lowest levels for 50
years.
The crisis has pushed prices to an
all-time high and could lead to further hikes in the price of bread, beer,
biscuits and other basic foods.
It could also exacerbate serious food
shortages in developing countries especially in Africa.
The crisis comes after two successive
years of disastrous wheat harvests, which saw production fall from 624m to 600m
tonnes, according to the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organisation
(FAO).
Experts blame climate change as
heatwaves caused a slump in harvests last year in eastern Europe, Canada,
Morocco and Australia, all big wheat producers.
Booming populations and a switch to a
meat-rich diet in the developing world also mean that about 110m tons of the
world’s annual wheat crop is being diverted to feed livestock.
Short term pressures have compounded
the problem. Speculative buying by investors gambling on further price rises
has further pushed up prices.
Though shortages are often blamed on the use of land for biofuel crops, the main biofuel cereal crop is maize, not wheat. Farmers have brought millions of acres of fallow land into production and the FAO predicts that the shortages could be eliminated within 12 months.